Thursday, 10 October 2013

AUTHORITATIVE STEALING PASS ARMED ROBBERY!....Where Nigeria’s money goes!

Like everyone else, the New Peoples Democratic Party wants to know where money accruing to the Federal Government, or more appropriately, the Nigerian people, goes. Apart from brazen theft, a lot of it goes out through capers like the loading of public works spending. To accomplish this, most Nigerian ministers or commissioners for works are usually trusted loyalists of pilfering heads of government; their major assignment being to maintain sweetheart relationships with those money siphons called construction firms. 




The New PDP alleges that government made $1.05bn in July 2013. Government believes it’s even more, $2.69bn, and further disclosed a receipt of $20.09bn revenue between January and July 2013. Yet, state governments are angry with the Federal Government over accumulated shortfalls in their allocation from the Federation Account.

Why a shortfall, despite this crude oil revenue, and additional revenues from customs and excise duties, personal income tax, company tax and Value Added Tax? The answer is simply because government bankrolls a huge bureaucracy. Money is never enough because the bills of the Federal Government, the 36 state governments, the Federal Capital Territory and the 774 local governments, their ministries, departments and agencies, are paid from one source — the Federation Account, which warehouses all monetary accruals to government. Money gets released into the system as government workers’ salaries, contractors’ fees, and ex-gratia awards and donations to sundry interventionist schemes. Because a large portion of government outlays goes to recurrent expenditure, you could say that Nigerians practically live on the dole.

The other drainpipe is the incredible amount of interest that the Central Bank of Nigeria carelessly causes the Government to pay for borrowing its own money that is sitting idle in the vaults of commercial banks. Through Treasury Bills and other municipal bonds, money accruing to government from the Federation Account, and receivables from taxation and utility charges, is put through a round-tripping of sorts, to the detriment of the national exchequer. There is no doubt that these financial instruments are legitimate tools for mopping up liquidity to execute the CBN’s monetarist policies. There is also no doubt that much of the funds raised through these instruments are used for white elephants, through which crooked public servants (some politicians have claimed) derive funds to finance private banks, hotels, shopping malls, airlines and private estates. Only thieves can trace the invisible trail of other thieves on a rock.

If you don’t know where the portion of Nigeria’s crude oil money that government cannot be accounted for goes, you will have to read the lips of the Group Managing Director of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation. He reports that shortfall in crude oil revenue is due to pipeline vandalisation and crude oil bunkering. He claims that crude production has tanked from a projected 2.3 million barrels per day to 1.6 million. Those who are savvy in oil matters valued the loss between 2012 and 2013 at about $1.29bn. Government admits that between August and September 2013, Nigeria’s external reserves dropped by $1.33bn — from $47bn to $45.67bn. Oil bunkering has become staple business in Nigeria. In an embarrassing outing on the CNN television network earlier in the year, the President showed a helplessness in combating bunkering. He seemed to think that by accusing foreign collaborators of the illegal trade, he could abdicate responsibility, and whip up sympathy.

This obviously is farfetched.
The President must realise that he is responsible for stopping the cartel that engages in illegal oil bunkering. He must also stop wringing his hand, and positively find a way to get domestic refineries to work efficiently. Mr. President must be reminded that the man who adds value to a primary product, like crude oil, will inevitably control that industry, and cream off its profits. That is the law of the market. John D. Rockefeller found a way to refine crude oil, and his heirs still enjoy the boon through substantial holdings in Exxon, Mobil and Chevron. Nigeria must generate credible capacity to refine its crude oil. Those rogue international businessmen who buy crude oil from the bunkering cartel are merely exploiting the weakness in Nigeria’s production chain.

Criminal negligence that allowed Nigeria’s values and infrastructure to go to the dogs, also caused its traditional agricultural mainstay to shrink. This reduced the nation’s supply of staple food as well as revenue from cash crops. Worse still, its freebie petrodollar income is squandered on importing, not only essential food items like rice, fish and poultry (which it has capacity to produce), but also in indulgences like Pringles and toothpicks. This profligate binge has dropped Nigeria a few notches from mere economic stagnation to the low of managing the twin scourges of balance of trade and external reserves deficits. If you discount crude oil exports that fetch about 90 per cent of foreign trade revenue, the balance of trade scale is precariously skewed against Nigeria.

A Federal Government spokesman (who certainly wouldn’t like to be considered a proxy of cement magnate Aliko Dangote) recently announced that importation of cement into Nigeria dropped by 51 per cent between 2011 and 2012. That is to say, local production of cement is picking up. But then, an awful lot of unprocessed brown sugar comes to Nigeria from Brazil, even if the same quantum of coffee does not. Nigeria also pays a huge import bill, from its dwindling crude oil revenue, on other commodities such as flour, salt and refined petroleum products. This adversely affects Nigeria’s ability to reinvest. Everyone in Economics 101 class knows that when you fail to invest, but fritter away your resources on consumptions, you are trading away your future income.

Do you know that those businesses that generate those, more apparent than real, increasing figures of Gross Domestic Product and growth rate that Government grandly reports are foreign-owned? They are vehicles for spiriting oil money out of the country. It is instructive that the Federal Government admits that Foreign Direct Investment reduced from $8.1bn in 2011 to $7.1bn in 2012. The Federal Government has a foreign collaborator, in a woman (who shall remain nameless). She works for a London investment firm, and regularly makes appearances in the media to spin every positive yarn she possibly could about the health of the Nigerian economy. If you look to see the reflection of these positive claims on Main Street, Nigeria, you will be hard put to find any. Unlike Lagos money that stays in Lagos, money made in Nigeria by the foreign investors is repatriated overseas.

These foreign-owned businesses, and their Nigerian fronts, run loops through dividend warrants, over-invoicing of imported raw materials, other consumables and machinery, and an inflated overseas counterpart remuneration of expatriate staff, to remit profit abroad. The foreign principals hold majority shareholding in these companies, using some fiduciary or shell companies floated in any of the international tax havens such as the Cayman Island, Liechtenstein and the Bahamas. A check will reveal that the owners or technical partners of firms in Nigeria’s fastest growing economic sectors — petroleum, telecommunications, Internet Service Providers, construction firms and importers or processors of commodities — are foreigners.

Nigeria’s money, in case you haven’t noticed, fritters away through brazen corruption, a bloated government bureaucracy, stealing of crude oil, a profligate import regime and an unrelenting capital flight.

...so whats you take?....that's the way...the COOKIES...crumble for Nigeria!...hmmn!

Government magic!

A contribution by Lekan Sote for the Punch Newspaper this week on October 8th.
 

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